It was eight weeks in the past that the young forward was standing on the Stadium of Light pitch, looking confused as the Villa manager scolded him over missing a penetrating pass. During that period, with the team failed to win in six, doubts remained if Rogers' form were an indicator or a cause of the team's broader struggles.
“When Rogers netted his second… Emery tore off his coat, threw his arms wide, and bellowed in delight.”
On Sunday, in contrast, the manager's outburst was entirely decidedly more positive. As Rogers drilled in his second strike to restore Villa's lead, the Spanish tactician tore off his jacket, threw his arms wide and bellowed. The Birmingham club continued to a tenth straight victory , despite not winning their initial half-dozen matches, find themselves just three points adrift of pace-setters Arsenal.
Is Aston Villa Legitimate Challengers?
That’s a rather hard query to address. Past precedent, the traditional standing of Villa, argues against it. Additionally, they've rarely been wholly dominant during this run, even as the victories have stacked up.
As per statistical analysis, on just two occasions has the side posted an xG notably superior than the opposition. For a side which has strung together 10 in a row, Villa seem strangely fragile – however currently the margins are going in their favour.
The Winning Formula
Their recent policy looks like to exchange chances with rivals and then rely on Rogers to save the day with some clinical strikes. It happened away to Leeds, it occurred in London, and it happened when facing the Red Devils.
Rogers' first goal stemmed from an exquisite effort, curled right inside the upright from the corner of the box. The follow-up goal was essentially a somewhat messier replica of his first as he seized on a setup by his strike partner.
“Perhaps Rogers’ right foot is becoming like Arjen Robben’s left: just because you know he’s going to whip the ball into the top corner doesn’t mean you can stop him.”
How Long Can This Continue?
Reason suggests otherwise. Against United, Manchester United managed more shots and more direct attempts. They have won each of their last eight by the narrowest of margins. They have allowed goals in nearly all of those matches.
Regression to the mean may well be the most significant challenge they have to face as the season progresses. Their key man, in all likelihood, cannot keep on thrashing the ball into the net's top corner week in, week out.
Potential for Growth
Perhaps there is a different scenario whereby, rather than luck running out, the level of play rises to match the results. Key players may yet find their top level.
- The main striker might resume adding to his goal tally.
- The attacking talent may rediscover the performer he showed in Germany.
- Tyrone Mings and Pau Torres are set to return from injury, strengthening an occasionally vulnerable backline.
This could contain the seeds of a title challenge, however, it is improbable can continue to depend solely on one man.
Savoring the Moment
Yet, this was unforeseen. Nobody thought Villa would be in a Champions League place in December. And most definitely two months ago, few could imagine Rogers by the end of the year would be at the forefront of a title charge and appearing as a crucial player for the national team.
This remarkable period is to be savoured precisely because it appears so improbable. When the hero faced the Villa faithful when the game ended leading the celebrations, he seemed to be thoroughly enjoying it. Which he fully merits. Such periods do not happen often and must be appreciated.